Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 163.675733 179.416245 195.508574 213.161804 231.953538 251.330463 272.791682
2024-12-22 136.682455 160.011942 184.974347 213.546924 245.220971 279.134409 318.065287
2024-12-29 119.269846 148.393977 180.875720 219.476965 263.783552 312.738764 370.602270
2025-01-05 104.572713 137.841516 176.409175 223.831280 279.965077 343.699589 420.919843
2025-01-12 89.977959 125.572938 168.420923 222.836740 289.114785 366.250529 461.794633
2025-01-19 78.062731 115.125637 161.368866 221.886179 297.534045 387.538051 501.204610
2025-01-26 71.737691 111.000878 161.518806 229.316588 315.895967 420.763759 555.271265
2025-02-02 65.818360 106.692106 160.851690 235.274352 332.206559 451.539362 606.750141
2025-02-09 60.970757 103.278496 160.898605 241.809861 349.086241 483.083149 659.525553
2025-02-16 56.495254 99.891065 160.577055 247.558993 364.817475 513.257159 710.930484
2025-02-23 48.549205 90.569360 151.280099 240.484737 363.147764 520.898838 733.750728
2025-03-02 42.549025 83.563134 144.675234 236.558388 365.209918 533.030890 762.139526
2025-03-09 38.521433 79.375837 142.003645 238.145188 374.947860 555.653156 804.892701
2025-03-16 35.240228 76.082968 140.420669 241.142449 386.628715 581.035930 851.696460
2025-03-23 33.426608 75.097090 142.261654 249.133490 405.414702 616.216712 911.930682
2025-03-30 31.255580 73.250409 142.587081 254.788424 420.944142 647.213675 967.058894
2025-04-06 28.024168 69.118779 138.945729 254.196457 427.383042 665.830206 1005.844567
2025-04-13 25.103091 65.217152 135.369279 253.435686 433.399161 683.815548 1043.897477
2025-04-20 24.060385 64.850569 137.635366 261.788747 452.878001 720.689040 1107.957759
2025-04-27 22.811071 63.925535 138.852055 268.447685 469.912370 754.337091 1167.988128
2025-05-04 21.755020 63.273970 140.457766 275.699336 487.888841 789.475456 1230.386538
2025-05-11 20.638253 62.367014 141.528708 282.058375 504.585488 822.984210 1290.889166
2025-05-18 17.660463 56.991548 134.206021 274.291415 499.508468 825.294783 1308.102512